The Denver Nuggets have lost two of their last three games and will now host the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena in Denver. Minnesota comes into this game off of two consecutive wins, the latest win being away from home against the Los Angeles Clippers.
Both teams are 37-23 on the season, leading to a head-to-head tie for the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference. Denver enters the Draft as a slight home favorite on DraftKings to move on from Friday's loss against Oklahoma City, which was a repeat of last year's conference semifinals.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds
- Minnesota Timberwolves: +2.5 (-110)
- Denver Nuggets: -2.5 (-110)
- Above: 237.5 (-110)
- Under: 237.5 (-110)
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Major Injuries
Denver Nuggets The Nuggets' depth will once again be tested with several high-profile absentees. Anthony Gordon is set to be out along with Peyton Watson, who are both dealing with hamstring issues. Tamar Bates is a long-term absence while Spencer Jones is questionable and Cameron Johnson is probable.
The Timberwolves are relatively healthy and their injury situation is nearly clear. They have listed Julius Randle as questionable due to lower back spasms.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Trends
Denver has won the last three head-to-head meetings against Minnesota, including a 142-138 overtime thriller in their last matchup. The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in four consecutive games.
Conversely, Denver is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three games against Minnesota. Denver has seen the over hit in 38 of its 60 games this season (63.3%). The Nuggets have been excellent in coverage on the road (21-12), but have struggled a bit in ball arenas, posting a 13-14 ATS home record.
Keys to the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets matchup
The outcome of this game depends on Denver's ability to work around Nikola Jokic's traditional talent. The Nuggets have performed well as a unit and have averaged 120.5 points per game on overall shooting on 49% from the field.
Much will depend on the infighting between Rudy Gobert and Jokic, with Jamal Murray also coming into form recently, giving the Nuggets another significant scoring threat. However, the Timberwolves will hope Anthony Edwards can take over.
The All-Star has been poor throughout the campaign, averaging 29.6 points on the season. Minnesota will be determined to use the Nuggets' thin rotation to dominate important stretches of the game.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Predictions and Selections
While the Timberwolves are headed on the road, it's hard to ignore Denver's historic lead in this specific matchup. The Nuggets have won the last three times between these teams, and Jokic usually finds a way to neutralize Gobert's rim protection by staying away from the paint, especially in the presence of Murray.
ATS Selection: Nuggets-2.5 Select O/U: under 237.5
