While the outcome of playoff basketball will be determined by skill, depth and experience, the right seeding can work wonders, especially for a team that may need to take some breaks to reach the NBA Finals.
The Los Angeles Lakers are coming off one of their most impressive wins of the season. All-Star Luka Doncic drained a game-winner with just 0.5 seconds on the clock in a 127-125 overtime win over Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets on Saturday, giving the Lakers a win over a group that many view as a true contender.
After the game, Lakers head coach JJ Redick praised his team's current chemistry, but kept his focus on the bigger picture.
"Is 'coalesces' a word? Is it the right word? To come together? To gel together?". Redick asked the media after the win. "I think it feels like we're coming together pretty well right now. Still a long way to go, still a long way to go, but definitely optimistic."
Regardless of where the team starts netting, the Lakers would love to secure the No. 3 seed ahead of the NBA Playoffs. This result could provide them with a manageable early matchup and delay a meeting with arguably the league's most dangerous juggernaut.
Lakers should shoot for Timberwolves in first-round matchup
If the regular season ended today, the Lakers would face the Timberwolves in the first round of the postseason. While it's possible the Denver Nuggets, Houston Rockets, or even the Phoenix Suns could finish sixth in the Western Conference, seeing the Timberwolves finish in that spot would be Los Angeles' dream scenario.
The Lakers went 3-0 against Minnesota this season and won two of those games with the team from La La Land winning by more than 10 points. From a statistical standpoint, there is reason to believe that their offense will pose a real challenge for the Timberwolves.
While the T-Wolves are a more effective team from behind the arc, Los Angeles boasts a better offensive rating as well as the NBA's best free throw attempt rate. Even if shots aren't falling, the Lakers will find their way to the charity stripe and add points.
Despite elite talent like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Nazi Reed and Donte DiVincenzo, LeBron James, Austin Reeves and Doncic should be able to dominate the Timberwolves in the seven-game series, even if their weak 3-point shooting remains an issue.
Third seed will delay playoff date with Thunder
Redick and the Lakers might not want to get too ahead of themselves, but if they were to win a first-round matchup as the third seed in the West, they would not have to face the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder.
Los Angeles has lost two games against the Thunder so far this season, and while the teams are set to play twice more before the tournament begins, the reality remains the same. If any team has to play the Thunder this postseason, they would likely prefer to do so in the later stages of the bracket. With the Western Conference Finals approaching, attrition could be a real factor for a team that also played late last season.
As the third seed, the Lakers' likely second-round opponent will be the San Antonio Spurs, whom they have also struggled against this year. But the matchup with Victor Wembanyama is also more enjoyable than the matchup against Oklahoma City.
With 15 games remaining in the regular season, the Lakers appear to be finding their way. They have won eight of their last nine games, and after their thrilling win on Saturday, they are well aware of how important it will be to finish the season playing their best basketball.
"Obviously it's a good win for us," James told Khobi Price of the California Post. "but after [Saturday]We proceeded to a six-game roadie. We have to be prepared for this and it starts with Houston. In this league, it's great to enjoy that moment, but when the next moment comes you have to move on."
