Who will win the NASCAR race this weekend? There's always a little chaos in the final laps, as we saw in Sunday's Daytona 500. However, NASCAR's top drivers have track records on superspeedways that can often paint a picture of what will happen in a Cup Series race on Sunday.
Let's look at the NASCAR odds for this week's Cup Series race in Atlanta, the AutoTrader 400 at Echopark Speedway. Odds for both race winner and top-3 finish are via DraftKings.
RELATED: NASCAR Predictions for the AutoTrader 400
| Driver | race winner | Top 3 finishes |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | +1000 | +300 |
| Joey Logano | +1000 | +300 |
| chase elliott | +1000 | +300 |
| William Byron | +1200 | +350 |
| kyle larson | +1200 | +350 |
| Austin Cindric | +1200 | +350 |
| christopher bell | +1400 | +400 |
| tyler reddick | +1600 | +450 |
| denny hamlin | +1800 | +500 |
| chase brisco | +1800 | +500 |
| kyle busch | +2000 | +550 |
| Brad Keselowski | +2000 | +550 |
| Ross Chastain | +2200 | +600 |
| Chris Buescher | +2500 | +700 |
| bubba wallace | +2500 | +700 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +2800 | +800 |
| alex bowman | +3000 | +850 |
| Ryan Preece | +3500 | +1000 |
| Michael McDowell | +3500 | +1000 |
| josh berry | +3500 | +1000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +3500 | +1000 |
| Daniel Suarez | +4000 | +1100 |
| Connor Zylisch | +4500 | +1200 |
| Austin Dillon | +4500 | +1200 |
| you gibbs | +5000 | +1400 |
| eric jones | +5500 | +1500 |
| Todd Gilliland | +6500 | +1800 |
| shane van gisbergen | +6500 | +1800 |
| zane smith | +7000 | +2000 |
| noah gragson | +7000 | +2000 |
| John Hunter Nemechek | +8000 | +2200 |
| AJ Allmendinger | +8000 | +2200 |
| cole custer | +9000 | +2500 |
| ty dillon | +10000 | +2800 |
| Riley Herbst | +10000 | +2800 |
| JJ Yaley | +10000 | +2800 |
| kodi ware | +10000 | +2800 |
| BJ McLeod | +10000 | +2800 |
RELATED: NASCAR schedule, TV information and qualifying times this week for Atlanta
NASCAR picks this week
Ryan Blaney - Race Winner (+1000)
We don't often pick a favorite to win a Cup Series race on Sunday, unless it's Shane van Gisbergen on a road course. However, Ryan Blaney performed very well at Daytona until debris around him caused so much damage to the No. 12 car that it fell out of contention. He finished fourth here last February and won the pole in qualifying (30.91 seconds), so there's no doubt Team Penske can put him in great position to win at Echopark Speedway. After a disappointing performance last Sunday, we think Blaney will bounce back with a win this weekend.
Joey Logano - Top 3 Finish (+300)
Joey Logano finished 12th in the race at Atlanta last February, but led 83 laps and finished third in Stage 2. Logano scored four career top-five finishes in 24 races at Atlanta, finished third in laps led (528) and second among active Cup Series drivers. This is a track where Team Penske has had a great deal of success. Although we don't think Logano wins the AutoTrader 400, we are picking him to finish in the top-three.
Kyle Busch - Top 5 Finish (+260)
After winning the pole for the Daytona 500, Kyle Busch ultimately finished the race in 15th place, and it could have been even worse had he not had a major crash ahead of him. Luckily, the future Hall of Famer is now on his way to one of his best tracks. Since 2023 at Echopark Speedway, Busch has claimed an average finishing position of 8.8 (first in the Cup Series) with five top 10s and a pair of top-five finishes. We believe what happened at Daytona led to a comeback to No. 8 and a top five finish on the AutoTrader 400.
Carson Hocevar - Top 10 Finish (+165)
Carson Hocevar led the Daytona 500 on the final lap when an offset bump spun him from the lead, resulting in his car hitting the outside wall and sliding through the infield. Although it wiped out his first career win, Hocevar showed at Bowman Gray and Daytona that he is ready to make a jump this season. He now heads to Echopark Speedway, where he has two career top-10 finishes in four Cup Series starts at the reconfigured track. With the No. 77 car clearly on pace to run at the front of the field, we are confident that Hocevar will post a top-10 finish at Atlanta.
RELATED: NASCAR Power Rankings before AutoTrader 400
