This season has been nothing short of a pleasant surprise for the Boston Celtics, but as fans and pundits gear up for the NBA Playoffs in the final stretch of the regular season, it's fair to wonder if their luck could worsen due to seeding effects.
Currently, Boston's 47–24 record would keep them as the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference. If the season ended today, they would have faced a play-in team in the first round of the tournament. While there is no doubt that they will be able to overtake their opening opponent, the Celtics' real nightmare could come in the second round if they fall in the standings.
As good as the New York Knicks are, the team that resides in Massachusetts should fear the most from the Detroit Pistons.
With the return of Jayson Tatum, the team is still learning how to play with each other and finding ways to integrate the veteran back into the fold. As a result, it would be less advantageous for them to fall to the No. 4 seed and face a team that boasts one of the league's best defenses and thrives on a physical offensive style that likes to generate contact.
The Celtics' recent 102-92 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves featured a similar dynamic. Despite being without Anthony Edwards, the T-Wolves outscored the opponent 26–15 in the final quarter and earned an effort-driven victory, limiting Setlex's 3-point shooting in the process.
"So tonight was not an example of what we've been doing all season," Jaylen Brown told Jay King of The Athletic. "We've been a hard-playing team, we've rebounded aggressively, and we've matched the level of physicality. I think Minnesota overcame that tonight. But it's a good wake-up call. We get back into it, we look at it, learn from it and move forward."
The Celtics should avoid a second-round showdown with the Pistons.
Detroit is without point guard Cade Cunningham due to a collapsed lung, but they hope to have him back once the playoffs begin. Through the first 71 games of their season, the Pistons have posted the association's second-best defensive rating, while also attempting the second-most free throws per game.
Players like Isaiah Stewart and Jalen Duren are willing to play at a high level of physicality. It is not known how comfortable Tatum will be in such a matchup, or whether the Celtics have created enough consistency with him to compete against the team with the East's best record.
If the Cleveland Cavaliers were to leapfrog Boston and claim the second or third seed, the second-round pick could theoretically force a meeting between the Celtics and Pistons. It may not be likely, but it could cut his season short.
The Knicks are a better matchup, regardless of home-court advantage
New York is clearly a contender and could be a threat to defeat Boston in the series for the second year in a row. But it can be argued that this year's Celtics group is more balanced, assuming Tatum remains available. Even if the Knicks end up with home-court advantage in a potential second-round showdown, their style of play may be more manageable for Boston to deal with.
Like the Celtics, New York attempts 3-pointers at a high clip and boasts defensive strengths that primarily concern the opposing wing rather than centers. Both teams will likely play a close series, but Boston may have a solid chance to advance.
The Celtics have already dashed many expectations, but the wrong draw could end the franchise's quest for a 19th championship.
